mdrunning

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mdrunning last won the day on February 1 2007

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  1. No, the guarantee language is reviewed very carefully by the MLBPA before it's approved. As I stated in a previous post, the only possible out would be if the Orioles could somehow demonstrate that Davis's previous PED usage had resulted in his physical skills eroding to the point where he was no longer to perform. Very difficult, to say the least. Plus, the players made sure that the league's drug policy did not result in a disqualification of a contract, even if a player had to serve a suspension for a failed drug test. Unlike the NBA and the NHL, MLB does not uniformly insure contracts to protect against such things as injury (I'm not sure sucking is a valid reason for collecting). Those things are decided by the clubs on a case-by-case basis. The Orioles are, unfortunately, stuck for the next four years. I did see today where the Twins DFA's Phil Hughes, thus effectively eating the remaining $22 million on his contract, but that's just crumbs compared to what the Orioles would have to swallow by releasing Davis at this point.
  2. I think the more pertinent question would be, "Are the Orioles going to trade a player with or without whom they're going to finish last?"
  3. Typically if a guy appears to be lacking in the effort department, someone else on the team will remind him that's not how the game is played up here. Unfortunately, I don't know if the Orioles have that type of in-your-face guy. I think Mancini is going through a rough period right now. He isn't getting the pitches to hit that he did last year, and his approach with runners on base seems to change entirely. I saw today where ranks second-worst in the American League with RISP, based on a certain number of such opportunities. I think what we're also seeing is that Mancini may not be suited for the outfield, but he's unfortunately blocked elsewhere. I'm also concerned as to whether he can adjust to how pitchers are attacking him now as opposed to previously. If he doesn't, then he's just another guy in a uniform and certainly not a young building block.
  4. I was about to mention that myself. The Orioles stranded runners in every inning.
  5. That damage was done long before Angelos. Think Edward Bennett Williams and Eli Jacobs.
  6. Legacy aside, will his heirs be able to shoulder the burden of the estate tax, which would be considerable? More than one franchise had to be sold for that reason. The Redskins immediately come to mind. Angelos's law firm is also very prominent in estate planning, but I have no idea whether or not Angelos has taken the necessary steps to try and secure the franchise for his sons. I agree with your assertion about Angelos wanting to win. I think he desperately wants to do so, but has no clue how to actually achieve that end. He's seen both Art Modell and Steve Bisciotti hoist Lombardi Trophies here, and he'd love to be able to do the same in baseball. He certainly doesn't want his legacy to be the guy who ruined a Baltimore institution.
  7. Players with major league contracts still receive their full pay if demoted to the minors.
  8. The only trouble with "blowing it up" and adopting a lose now approach, is that you'd better damn well be right. It's a sound approach on paper only. The game isn't played in a vaccuum, and for every example such as the Cubs or Astros, who were miserable before they both became very good, there are also teams such as the Padres, who have tried a number of different approaches to getting out of the cellar, or the White Sox, who have seemingly been in rebuild mode since the Russian Revolution. The Reds have also been rebuilding for a while now, and have very little show for their efforts, or lack of the same. Their farm system still lags far behind that of, say, the Phillies. The Cubs and Astros did a lot of things right, but they were also lucky in a few instances. The Cubs hit the jackpot with Jake Arrieta, while people tend to forget that Houston had two consecutive whiffs with consecutive first-round picks in Mark Appel and Brady Aiken. Then there's Washington, which had the good fortune of having no-brainer No. 1 picks--Stephen Strasburg and Bryce Harper--fall in their laps in successive years. And if the idea is to completely bottom out and draft a stud, that approach isn't fool-proof as it may seem, either. Of the No. 1 overall picks taken since 1987, only two, Ken Griffey, Jr. and Chipper Jones, are now Hall of Famers, although A-Rod, had his career not been tainted by scandal, was certainly on the straight and narrow to the Hall. Bryce Harper may one day join that elite group as well. Still, the percentages suggest that even players taken that high have a better chance of winding up total busts or in the Hall of Just Pretty Good. The peril of starting over is that every tank job isn't going to result in the Cubs or the Astros.
  9. When MLB overhauled the entire international process for 2017, which eliminated the draft and implemented a slotting system, the Orioles had the highest amount of slot money at $5.75 million. When the signing period opened on July 2 of that year, they whittled their pool money down to $160K by making eight trades; the other 29 clubs combined for 13 such trades. This year, the Orioles are the third-lowest at just over $2 million. The only saving grace is that three other teams in their division--the Yankees, Red Sox and Blue Jays, will be penalized this cycle for exceeding their slot allowance for the last draft cycle, which largely takes them out of commission this time around. Where they differ from the Orioles, however, is in the fact that these clubs snatched up so many players the last time around. If you're over slot already, you might as well just keep going and sign up as many players as you can for that draft cycle. In a way I get it since the international market is still a very shady process. The backgrounds of these kids aren't always fully vetted, and there's always the risk--although it has lessened in recent years--of drafting players who used falsified documents so as to present themselves as younger than they really are. (Sixteen-year-olds, after all, tend to get better bonuses than 18-year-olds.) There was also a Time Magazine article from 2010 detailing how Latin American agents, called buscones, generally keep anywhere from 25 to 50 percent of the signing bonuses of the players they train. They're not doing this out of the goodness of their hearts obviously, but those are crazy numbers. What's also crazy is the small number of international players signed over the recent decade who actually made it to the majors--about 2 percent. And, given that a lot of these kids come from poor backgrounds and baseball is viewed as one of the few ways out (even doctors and lawyers don't make a lot of money in the Dominican), there's plenty of incentive to cheat. PED's are about as readily available as candy down there, and usage is rampant. The Time article also mentioned that when MLB began testing the top 40 Dominican amateurs for steroids, about a third of them failed. It's a very perverse incentive structure. While there are practical reasons to be cautious about the international market, the sobering reality is that it's too big a talent pool to be largely ignored. Of Baseball America's Top 10 minor league prospects heading into 2018, I believe eight were international signings. What that means is the best amateur player may not be on some high school or college campus in the United States.
  10. I'm having a hard time believing Robinson's claim of this whole thing being an honest mistake. That plea has been used too many times over the years.
  11. Baseball's drug policy was written so that clubs wouldn't be able to do exactly that. It does not give them the authority to use a PED suspension as a means for trying to get out of the remaining years of a contract.
  12. Does your league allow you to put someone else in his place? When I played Rotiesserie, the rules were you couldn't replace a suspended player.
  13. I don't believe that for a nano second. Should the Phillies still be solidly in contention by July, I expect they'll change their tune. You can't let an opportunity to win a pennant simply pass by because you think you'll be in a better position next season. There's no guarantee of that because too much can go wrong. No team wants to give up prospects, but having too many of them as the deadline passes is what gets a GM fired. The Phillies have plenty of young depth, both in the minors and at the major league level, and some of those guys could be appealing enough to another team while at the same time not severely hurting the Phillies' farm system. My biggest concerns are who will make that decision on the Orioles' side, and will they set the price so ridiculously high as to scare off any potential suitors. The Orioles could get some nice pieces in return for Manny, but anyone who thinks they're going to hit the mother lode is going to be sadly disappointed.
  14. That'll cost him about about $12 million.
  15. There's a definite positive slant toward Duquette in this piece. Almost a bit too laudatory, in fact. Assuming Duquette isn't coming back after this season, the piece almost serves as a de facto resume should he seek employment elsewhere. I'd be curious to know the identity of the National League executive who was quoted in the article. Andy MacPhail, perhaps?