I wouldn't think a Strasburg for Wieters swap is too far out there. I'd rather have Strasburg because he's younger, but both are ~5 win players (Strasburgs 2010 extrapolated to a full season is around 5). Both seem like they could be the best at there position in the league at the end of the year. Just depends which position you value more.
No way I would do that trade. Are they equal in face value? Possibly...but Wieters gives you 100-130 games, Strasburg gives you 30-35, at best.
When you have a rotation like the Nats, Strasburg is the kind of guy you want to lead it.
The O's need more than one pitcher.
Right now, I see a 2-3, 4 and a 5 on the starting staff (Arrieta, Hammel, Chen in that order), but they still need another top guy and a middle of the rotation guy suited for the AL East.
Safe to say Nats fans would riot if they dealt Stras for the 'Switch Hitting Jesus.'
And a Harp-Bundy deal would be even more laughable.
Most major league scouts said that while Strasburg was slightly older and thought to be more mature they believe that Bundy had superior mechanics and less chance of the same arm problems that Strasburg is recovering from. Bundy is also mature beyond his age.
I have seen both pitch. Bundy is more fluid and Strasburg has more moving parts. Strasburg is a few MPH faster at this point but pumps it up. Bundy throws in the high 90s effortlessly. Bundy has legs like Nolan Ryan.
I hope they both become great ML pitchers. I would bet that Bundy is in the Orioles starting ML rotation next season. They said they will shut him down after 125 innings this year regardless of his record.
I think both teams playing well is good for the region. I am a big Caps fan. I am a former season ticket holder of both the Caps and Os. Hopefully, B. Harper does not turn into JD Drew. Hopefully, both Bundy and Strasburg do not suffer the same fate as Prior and Wood. If I had to pick any of these players (including A. Jones), I would take Wieters and his leadership and long term skills potential.
I agree with you, but you can't really extrapolate his 2010 numbers because he never put them up, because he blew out his arm. There are a lot of guys that could have been phenomenal if they stayed healthy, but a guy who gets TJ surgery that young scares me.
Sports Illustrated did an article recently that shows the average length that TJ surgery fixes an arm is about 8 years. After that, many times another is needed. Granted 8 years is a long time from now, but if you had to put money on who would have less time spent on the DL between Wieters and Strasburg from here on out, who would you bet on? Wieters is dependably very good. Strasburg is excellent when he's on the field, but there are more question marks about that.
Strasburg has the higher ceiling, but his health scares me. With pitchers already being so fragile, seeing a guy who throws 98+ need TJ surgery at 22 doesn't bode well for the future. Chances are pretty good he doesn't see 30 without another major arm issue (though I hope I'm wrong, because he's electric when he's on).
Agree re extrapolation. Expecially with such a small sample size. I just had to correct the math.
I think it's worth noting that he's been even better than his 2010 self so far, though.
Re his arm, we'll just have to wait and see. One encouraging thing is that he's backed off the velo a tick and is not trying to simply blow the fastball by everyone any more. With that curve and change, 96 with the occasional 98 is plenty.
That's a good approach if it's true (I haven't watched him enough this year to notice). Having 98+ is something nice to pull out when you're in a jam, but anything 94 or over is enough to blow by a hitter if you set him up correctly, and his breaking stuff is more than good enough to do that.
I think it would be hard to extrapolate any numbers this season as both, Bundy and Strasburg, are on strict pitch and innings counts.
Bundy's stats are approaching #1 prospect status in my opinion.
Here are his current stats....
http://www.milb.com/milb/stats/stats...pbp&pid=605164
B. Harper current stats...
http://www.baseball-reference.com/mi...d=harper002bry
I think the prospect gap is closing fast.
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