He's saying that 2A as a whole is a lot better than it was the last time Dunbar was in it.
I'm not saying Dunbar won't win in 2A, but there are 14 more schools in that classification, and many more good schools than 1A. Perryville is Dunbar's only real challenger in 1A this year. In 2A, Middletown, Walkersville, McDonough, Douglass (PG), Queen Anne's, and Kent Island would all be favored over a down Dunbar team this year. I've seen both Middletown and Walkersville and they are both the real deal. It is a shame that because of the stupid regional seeding, 1 of them will go no further than the regional finals. It's 1 thing to dominate 1A with 35 schools, of which only 1 on any given year is good enough to hang with Dunbar. It's another thing entirely to dominate 2A, where there are 4-8 teams on any given year that can hang with or are more talented than Dunbar.
I don't think anyone said that Dunbar wouldn't win any championships but that they won't dominate the 2a the way they dominated 1a. I think you're misreading what they're saying. It's obvious that there are a lot more quality teams in 2a than 1a and that the road to the championship is tougher. That's all everyone is saying.
Through the end of the regular season, here's how the classifications rank using the average MaxPreps rating of each team in each classification :
1) 11.0 3A
2) 8.8 4A
3) 3.0 2A
4) -9.1 1A
Number of teams with a MaxPreps rating of 30 or higher
1) 7 3A
2) 5 4A
3) 4 2A
4) 1 1A
Number of teams with a MaxPreps rating of 20 or higher
1) 18 3A
2) 14 4A
3) 10 2A
4) 3 1A
Number of teams with a MaxPreps rating of 10 or higher
1) 27 3A
2) 23 4A
3) 16 2A
4) 9 1A
Dunbar won those higher classification championships in a different football climate. In the mid to late 90s the movement to create academies and charter schools hadn't yet begun. City, Poly and Dunbar got the best kids in Baltimore City. It's different these days. Meth007 said it himself, Gilman & Calvert Hall get the cream of the crop as far as middle school talent goes. The remaining talent now has more choices in picking a high school to attend. Kids that would have chosen Dunbar in the last decade are now walking the halls at MIAA schools and at City, Edmondson, Douglass and Reginald Lewis.
I agree with this completely. You cannot also ignore the fact that Dunbar not winning state championships as often would have a impact on the talent coming in. Kids come to Dunbar currently to win state championships. If they do not win them City kids might decide to go elsewhere.
Dunbar will adjust to the level of their opponents. They always have. I've always believed they have played down to their competition. This is the best thing for their program.
|
| Terms of Service | Search/Archive | Feedback | Contact Information | DC50tv | Baltimore Sun | Chicago Tribune | Daily Press | Hartford Courant | LA Times | Orlando Sentinel | Sun Sentinel The Morning Call | The Virginia Gazette Baltimore Sun, 501 N. Calvert Street, P.O. Box 1377, Baltimore, MD 21278 |