Triumph of the Nerds: Nate Silver Wins in 50 States

[Calamari]

http://mashable.com/2012/11/07/nate-silver-wins/

Barack Obama may have comfortably won re-election in the electoral college, and squeaked a victory in the popular vote. But here is the absolute, undoubted winner of this election: Nate Silver and big data.

The Fivethirtyeight.com analyst, despite being pilloried by the pundits, outdid even his 2008 prediction. In that year, his mathematical model correctly called 49 out of 50 states, missing only Indiana (which went to Obama by 0.1%.)

This year, according to all projections, Silver’s model has correctly predicted 50 out of 50 states. A last-minute flip for Florida, which finally went blue in Silver’s prediction on Monday night, helped him to a perfect game.

Completely vindicated.

[Calamari]

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_a...l_results.html

For extra fun, see how far off the pundits were in their predictions.

It's funny that the loser behind unskewed polls wasn't actually the worst, that fell to Always-wrong Dick Morris.

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Silver was pretty much spot on for the 2010 Congressional races as well. Only at that time he was being hailed as a genius by the same people who threw him under the bus as a partisan hack this time around.