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Thread: Most accurate pollster in 2012: PPP

  1. #1
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    Default Most accurate pollster in 2012: PPP

    The Democrat-leaning polling firm, PPP, nailed all the swing state results and came closest to the national popular vote margin:

    The Democratic automated polling firm Public Policy Polling, which took flak all year long from Republicans complaining about its partisan bias, had a very, very good Election Day.

    In every swing state, its final presidential polls were validated Tuesday night as PPP reported the correct winner in all 9 battlegrounds and in the 3 other states (Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania) that the Romney campaign feinted toward.

    A Fordham University report released Wednesday ranked the firm first among 28 organizations for the accuracy of its final, national preelection estimates.

    The story in the Senate was much the same for PPP. It correctly picked every winner and, in most cases, slightly understated Democratic support and overstated GOP support.

    http://www.politico.com/blogs/charli...911.html?hp=r3

  2. #2
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    Default

    Nate Silver. Can't do better than perfect.

  3. #3
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    Default Fordham University Pollster Study 2012

    1. PPP (D)*
    1. Daily Kos/SEIU/PPP*
    3. YouGov*
    4. Ipsos/Reuters*
    5. Purple Strategies
    6. NBC/WSJ
    6. CBS/NYT
    6. YouGov/Economist
    9. UPI/CVOTER
    10. IBD/TIPP
    11. Angus-Reid*
    12. ABC/WP*
    13. Pew Research*
    13. Hartford Courant/UConn*
    15. CNN/ORC
    15. Monmouth/SurveyUSA
    15. Politico/GWU/Battleground
    15. FOX News
    15. Washington Times/JZ Analytics
    15. Newsmax/JZ Analytics
    15. American Research Group
    15. Gravis Marketing
    23. Democracy Corps (D)*
    24. Rasmussen
    24. Gallup
    26. NPR
    27. National Journal*
    28. AP/GfK

    http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.co...-most-accurate

  4. #4
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by zenwalk View Post
    Nate Silver. Can't do better than perfect.
    Have to agree. Nate Silver nailed it perfectly.

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