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Thread: Young voters/minorities increased turnout from 2008...

  1. #1
    Join Date
    Oct 2001
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    Default Young voters/minorities increased turnout from 2008...

    ...meanwhile, the percentage of white voters decreased. Republican strategists wrongly assumed that 2008 was an aberration and that the electorate would not be more diverse and progressive in 2012:

    • We thought young voters would not turn out at the same level as 2008. They did. In fact, they represented 19% of the electorate per exit polls-as high, if not higher, than four years ago.

    • We said that Democrats would not be +6 over Republicans and if they were, Obama would win. Well, they did and he did. Again, exit polls say Democrats were +6. Romney needed the proportion of Republicans and Democrats to be even to win.

    • We thought minority turnout would be lower than 2008. It was not. In several important precincts in key states, minorities voted in numbers equal to-and in some cases better than-four years ago.

    • We thought Romney would win Independents by double digits. He won them, but by just five points.

    • We thought Romney would have a huge gender advantage among men; it was only seven points. Meanwhile, the President won women by 11 points.

    • We thought Romney would dominate on being "better able to handle the economy." He only beat the President on this issue by a few points. Not enough.

    http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-...23.html?hp=l14

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
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    1,479

    Default

    So prelim numbers,
    President Obama received:

    60% of youth vote
    50% "" Catholic vote
    93% "" African American vote
    71% "" Hispanic vote
    73% "" Asian vote
    55% "" Women Vote
    45% "" Men vote

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
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    50,904

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by ODENTON View Post
    So prelim numbers,
    President Obama received:

    60% of youth vote
    50% "" Catholic vote
    93% "" African American vote
    71% "" Hispanic vote
    73% "" Asian vote
    55% "" Women Vote
    45% "" Men vote
    If that is true:

    He lost 6% of the "Black" vote, 5% of the Male vote, 15% of the Hispanic vote and 3% of the Catholic vote. Just not enough to lose the election.

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/154559/us...on-center.aspx

  4. #4
    Join Date
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    Default

    The day of reckoning will come in 2016. If those percentages continue after 8 years of a democrat in the White House, and no minority running for the dems, then republicans have some real problems.

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