• We thought young voters would not turn out at the same level as 2008. They did. In fact, they represented 19% of the electorate per exit polls-as high, if not higher, than four years ago.
• We said that Democrats would not be +6 over Republicans and if they were, Obama would win. Well, they did and he did. Again, exit polls say Democrats were +6. Romney needed the proportion of Republicans and Democrats to be even to win.
• We thought minority turnout would be lower than 2008. It was not. In several important precincts in key states, minorities voted in numbers equal to-and in some cases better than-four years ago.
• We thought Romney would win Independents by double digits. He won them, but by just five points.
• We thought Romney would have a huge gender advantage among men; it was only seven points. Meanwhile, the President won women by 11 points.
• We thought Romney would dominate on being "better able to handle the economy." He only beat the President on this issue by a few points. Not enough.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/burns-...23.html?hp=l14