The Os will trade for a starting pitcher and they'll add an outfielder via free agency. I'd expect one of their own FAs to also return (Saunders or Reynolds?).
If you want an Upton, BJ is the easier path. But, despite all the recent press claiming the contrary, I still think Hamilton is the big O's splash. He likes the town, fans and stadium A LOT! Of course, RA Dickey is a dark horse addition if the Mets buy into the notion that Arrieta/Britton and Avery/LJ Hoes have MLB value.
Add Dickey via trade and Hamilton via free agency, then add back Wada, Roberts and Reimold. 2013 is already promising regardless. But a few smart adds would push the Os to the preseason forefront.
I'm with you, free agents are the more likely targets. and the O's have lived on the cheap for so long, dropping a ton of money shouldn't be a problem. but this isn't a strong FA class.
FWIW, I heard Bowden say the expectation for Hamilton is 8 yrs @ $25M each.
Wow. josh h. is up to 8 years now?
Nick Castenellos is on the table from Detroit. We arent' getting Upton unless Manny or Bundy are in the picture.
Hamilton is asking for 7 yrs/$175M
and for some reason, the O's keeping being mentioned as his strongest suitor. I simply can't believe the O's would do that many years and that much money.
Now the real question is who the competition is in terms of bidding on this guy. Boston and the Mets are gun shy and likely to sit this hot stove out rather than infuse their franchises with more volatility. The Dodgers, Angels and Giants don't have room. The Yankees claim to be focusing on luxury tax avoidance. For Hamilton to work, he needs an environment conducive to his idiosyncrasies. And, it has to be a team that has sufficient character to envelope Josh.
Now exactly who do you think is ahead of Baltimore at this point in the bidding? And, please don't start with 7yrs/175M.
When did SI do their expose on the guy......before the season started! It would seem most folks knew Dickey was the real deal long before ole sage Ken. In fairness, I can appreciate your concerns for a guy who's 38 and has only developed his knuckle ball within the last 5 yrs but please don't denigrate yourself by avoiding those relevant considerations and instead tossing out eroneous stuff you know is simply invalid.
usually I don't worry about how well a player will live up to a long contract, because salaries go up all the time. today's record breaking annual salary is tomorrow's league average.
let's say he gets $25M/yr for 7 yrs. he's almost certainly going to deliver on that deal for at least 4 of the 7 seasons. by the time 2017 rolls around, $25M/yr won't seem that unusual.
and if his production slips, or the team is no longer a contender, you do what all teams do. you ship him off to a contending team that is trying to bolster their line up for a playoff run. there's always a GM willing to take on a risky contract for the promise of a ring.
look how the yankees have absorbed stupid contracts for Cecil Fielder and Kevin Brown (just to name 2). the Angels and Dodgers are also willing to pay any amount necessary to win. add Boston, Chicago and Detroit to the mix, and there are at least 6 teams that would take on JH in mid-2017, provided he doesn't totally tank.
in the meantime, the O's project to go to the playoffs for a few years, and maybe they win it all at least once.
and that doesn't even take into account the other players who would then be drawn to the O's because they can hit in front or behind JH and AJ.
the ripple effect goes to the draft as well. suddenly college kids are willing to sign faster and cheaper because they know they're going to an org that competes.
I won't be upset if they sign him for 7-8 years. it will just make me wonder why Prince wasn't good enough to open the vault for last year.
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