U.S. birthrate falls to lowest level ever recorded

[Mom49of4]

Is this a concern or good news? It also means a lower base from which to collect taxes from.

[flyboy56]

Is this a concern or good news? It also means a lower base from which to collect taxes from.

It means more room for immigrants.

[dsummoner]

This is good news. It is well past time to shut down those backyard breeding programs.

[flyboy56]

Fortunately I was given good advice early in my life and that is don't include the government in my retirement plan. SS is a pyramid scheme because without a large work force to pay for a retired persons pension supplement (SS), benefits will be cut.

[dsummoner]

The government's legalized (for itself) Ponzi schemes with forced participation will not do well under the coming demographic tsunami. As the rapacious government looks to steal more and more (e.g. removing the caps on income subject to the socialist security Ponzi) it makes itself subject, more and more, to the mechanism of Cloward-Piven but with a decidedly different outcome.

[OldBay]

Is this a concern or good news? It also means a lower base from which to collect taxes from.

Population growth is determined mathematically by both generation time and number of offspring in an equation. Of the two, generation time is far more important. The best way to slow population growth is to delay the age at first reproduction.

People place far too much importance on birth rate and far too little on generation time.

Simple example exercise: Calculate the population after 100 years for 2 populations. The first produces 3 offspring every other year, starting at age 17. The other population produces 3 offspring every other year starting at age 28. What is the population size of each population after 100 years?

Delayed gratification is the solution to much.

[AttackPlanR]

Is this a concern or good news? It also means a lower base from which to collect taxes from.

And less people that use services that taxes provide, and less money for tithing.

[Mom49of4]

You have something against churches?

[AttackPlanR]

No. Why do you ask?

Did I type something that offends you? A lie maybe?

[Mom49of4]

No, I asked a question.

[AttackPlanR]

Question answered.

[AttackPlanR]

You're not going to delete my posts now, are you?

[Grindelwald]

Yes, I'd say it's a good thing.

[Mom49of4]

You're not going to delete my posts now, are you?

Why do you ask that question?

[flyboy56]

And less people that use services that taxes provide, and less money for tithing.

Tithing is generally what church goers do when they give to their church. So do you have something against Churches and people giving?

[Grindelwald]

Why do you ask that question?

Why do you think?

[AttackPlanR]

See post #9.

[Mom49of4]

There are no TOS violations.

[OldBay]

copied from the OPs link:

Nevertheless, foreign-born women continue to contribute a disproportionately high percentage of American births, birthing 23% of the nation's babies while such women make up only about 17% of the country's female population. And according to the Pew analysis, the children of immigrants who have arrived since 2005 will make up 82% of the U.S.'s population growth by 2050.

While the Pew correlation between "economic distress" and birthrate is interesting, it is also a warning that the high percentage of groups that historically reproduce early - the real driver of high population growth, may return to that behavior when the economy improves.

It usually requires a more catastrophic disaster to a population for behavior to change in a way that lowers population growth. The classic example is the Irish potato famine. Population growth after the famine was greatly reduced by cultural means - delayed reproduction.

Populations in which there are many generations within families have high rates of intrinsic growth. The absolute number of offspring per pair is far less important. I never knew my great-grandparents who were born in the 1860's. They died long before I was born. My own grandparents, born in the 1890's have long since passed away. As far as I can determine, there has never been more than 3 generations of us around at any given time. However, my wife has children in her classrooms who know their living great-great grandparents - because they and each successive generation, reproduced at such young ages. That "early and often" reproduction is what really drives population growth. It is also what drives the growth in social services.

[SalisburySage]

There are no TOS violations.

I'll see what I can do.