Do the Yankees make the playoffs in 2013?

[hector]

The Blue Jays have a team built to win now.
TB is always in it with their pitching and their focus towards minor league development.
The O's are built to win for a couple of years, as long as their pitching continues to progress.
Alex is going to hang a pall over their franchise. Jeter is making a lot of coin - how many more years does he have at SS? Their pitching staff is old or so-so, with the exception of Pinieda if he can get back to form.
They don't have a good catcher.
Cano is critical, and if he leaves, they don't have a 2b replacement.
Gardner could be good for a decent stretch, but his game is speed, which never ages well, and he's good as a complementary player, not a showpiece.
Granderson doesn't have that long left with this team.
Who's playing Right?
Teix, imo, will rebound and has at least a couple of decent years left in him.

They have a middle of the road system.
It's very conceivable that they could miss the playoffs for 2-3 years, unless they go back to their old philosophy.

To be clear, I think they can contend, if not win the division this season - I just don't know what happens after that.

Excellent summary. I agree with all of it except the part about the Tex rebound. He will always underperform his super premium salary. As the Yankees regress toward average over the next three years, Tex will discover physical ailments which keep him off the field for extended periods. Where Tex is concerned, the old expression should be - "When the going gets tough, the tough get going to the disabled list."

[ivanbalt]

It's pre-ordained - In 2013, the Yankees win 89 games and MISS the playoffs.

Is this like their 95 win collapse you predicted last year?

[hector]

Is this like their 95 win collapse you predicted last year?

With all due respect (however much that may be), my 95 win prediction last year was for the O's. It was remarkably accurate given the losing record that preceded it for so many years. On the other hand, your prediction was that a .500 season was unattainable for the O's in 2012. That was grossly inaccurate.

Looking forward, the O's go 84-78 in 2013 and miss the playoffs. What's your prediction?

[ivanbalt]

With all due respect (however much that may be), my 95 win prediction last year was for the O's. It was remarkably accurate given the losing record that preceded it for so many years. On the other hand, your prediction was that a .500 season was unattainable for the O's in 2012. That was grossly inaccurate.

Looking forward, the O's go 84-78 in 2013 and miss the playoffs. What's your prediction?

We are talking about the Yankees. You predicted a big collapse and they won 95 games.

[hector]

We are talking about the Yankees. You predicted a big collapse and they won 95 games.

I brilliantly predicted the total collapse of the Red Sox and the surge of the O's and was right on. I also predicted the Yankees would regress from 2011to 2012 and again was absolutely accurate.

[ivanbalt]

I brilliantly predicted the total collapse of the Red Sox and the surge of the O's and was right on. I also predicted the Yankees would regress from 2011to 2012 and again was absolutely accurate.

It's ok, keep changing your story.

[hector]

It's ok, keep changing your story.

My "story" is out there for all to see (and admire).

My prediction of Yankees regression in 2012 (from 97 to 95 wins) is factual and my brilliant prediction of further Yankee regression in 2013 through 2015 will also be proven when the results from those seasons are in. The Yankees regress to 89 wins in 2013 and continue their decline in 2014 and 2015.