I agree with your comments. Matt is an average hitter overall and an above average defensive catcher. His trade value is probably at its max right now when some teams might be desperate for a very good catcher who can play another 8 years or so. If the O's sign him to a long term contract, he's worth $9-10M per year and no more.
If the O's moved him to DH, he'd be an average or below average DH and they'd lose the benefit of his defensive ability behind the plate. Trading him at the top of his market value should be seriously considered by the O's (just as they should have considered trading Roberts when I suggested that about three years ago.)
But what does his agent the evil Scott Boras want?
He'll start with two benchmarks, Mauer (8 yrs, $184M, 23M annually) and Y Molina (5 yrs, $75M) and he'll try to split the difference but he'll watch to see if/when Posey signs a long term deal before he gives any real consideration to his client's opportunities. When all is said and done, I'd guess 7 yrs, $140M in a mid-season trade/sign deal..in 2013 or '14.
And that likely means the Yankees, an LA team or maybe Detroit or Texas..unless Wieters gets another agent.
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