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  #61  
Old 10-25-2009, 10:41 PM
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Here's the Plane he uses....


http://www.freewebs.com/redneck_raci...k-Airlines.jpg
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  #62  
Old 10-25-2009, 10:45 PM
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Originally Posted by BleedPurple52 View Post
Nah but this chick might be your mom

http://recollectionbooks.com/bleed/images/BB/Dorww1.jpg
Speaking of mom's...your mom said to STOP coming in the trailer when she has the "Do Not Disturb" sign on the door handle!!

Bleed's Mom: http://i34.tinypic.com/15hoh6p.jpg
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  #63  
Old 11-02-2009, 01:02 AM
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Updated.....

Colts 7-0* (Houston)
Broncos 6-1* (Pittsburgh)
Patriots 5-2* (Miami)
Bengals 5-2* (Ravens)
Steelers 5-2 (at Denver)
Texans 5-3 (at Indy)
--------------------------------------
Ravens 4-3 (at Cinci)
Chargers 4-3 (at NYGiants)
Jets 4-4 (BYE)

That is pretty crazy that every division leader is at home, and every one fighting for a wild card is on the road....against tough opponents.

A win next week could really get us in a good position going forward for a number of reasons.
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  #64  
Old 11-02-2009, 02:44 AM
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we need to just win but there are some favorable matchups around the league.

I don't believe the Texans are legit at all.
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  #65  
Old 11-08-2009, 11:53 PM
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Tomorrow's Denver/Pitt matchup will have virtually no effect on the seedings, so updating:

1. Colts 8-0 (vs NE)
2. Denver 7-1 or 6-2 (@ WAS)
3. Cincinnati 6-2 (@ PIT)
4. New England 6-2 (@ IND)
5. Pittsburgh 6-2 or 5-3 (vs CIN)
6. San Diego 5-3 (vs PHI)
--------------------------------
Houston 5-4 (BYE)
Jacksonville 4-4 (@ NYJ)
NY Jets 4-4 (vs JAX) *
Baltimore 4-4 (@ CLE) *

* Order dependent on tomorrow night's outcome.

Some notes and current tie breakers:
  • Even if #2 Denver loses, they have the head-to-head over #3 Cincinnati and #4 New England.

  • Even if #5 Pittsburgh wins, #2 Cincinnati will still hold the division tiebreaker (4-0 vs 1-1).

  • #3 Cincinnati holds the Strength of Victory tiebreaker over #4 New England.

  • Even if #5 Pittsburgh loses, they have the head-to-head over #6 San Diego.

  • Jacksonville has a better conference percentage (.600) than Baltimore and the Jets (.571)

  • If Denver loses, then the Jets hold the Strength of Victory tiebreaker over Baltimore (.454 vs .437).

  • If Denver wins, then the Strength of Victory is even, and the Ravens hold the Strength of Schedule tiebreaker over the the Jets (.597 vs .484)


So, starting the second half-stretch, and there's still really not much separation, with 10 of the 16 teams at .500 or better, and in the mix. The 3-5 Dolphins aren't dead yet, either...although I don't think they can go on enough of a tear to make a real difference.

But check out the AFC West. Three weeks ago, Denver beat the Chargers on MNF, and had a FOUR game lead in the division.....should the Broncos lose tomorrow, that lead will be down to 1 game - and the Chargers travel to Denver in Week 11. Wow. Could we see another late season Denver collapse, allowing San Diego to take the crown?

Looks like Jags/Jets next week is a bigger game than most would think, at least as far as the wildcard chase goes. Baltimore should be able to keep pace by beating Cleveland. Colts/Pats is big - I would imagine that the Pats have to win if they want any shot at homefield advantage.

And then of course there's the Cincy/Pittsburgh tilt. If the Steelers can knock off the Broncos and Bengals, I'm pretty sure they'll be sitting at the #2 seed and a first round bye (have to check how the tiebreakers stack up to a possible 7-2 Pats team). On the other hand, if the Bengals can knock off the Ravens and Steelers in back to back weeks, the division is all but locked up. A lot at stake here.
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  #66  
Old 11-09-2009, 12:02 AM
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As of midnight tomorrow night, the Ravens will be no more than 1 loss behind the final WC seed. With 8 games to go. And a tie-breaker in hand on both AFC West potential WC foes. To say the season is "over" at this point is foolish. 3 more losses, yeah. Until then, just wait for things to play themselves out...
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  #67  
Old 11-09-2009, 12:08 AM
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Originally Posted by Ravens2006 View Post
As of midnight tomorrow night, the Ravens will be no more than 1 loss behind the final WC seed. With 8 games to go. And a tie-breaker in hand on both AFC West potential WC foes. To say the season is "over" at this point is foolish. 3 more losses, yeah. Until then, just wait for things to play themselves out...
Definitely...although I would note that the other teams have significantly easier schedules than the Ravens do.
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  #68  
Old 11-09-2009, 12:12 AM
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And the NFC side, just for the hell of it:

1. New Orleans 8-0 (@ STL)
2. Minnesota 7-1 (vs DET)
3. Dallas 6-2 (@ GB)
4. Arizona 5-3 (vs SEA)
5. Atlanta 5-3 (@ CAR)
6. Philadelphia 5-3 (@ SD)
--------------------------------
NY Giants 5-4 (BYE)
Green Bay 4-4 (vs DAL)
Chicago 4-4 (@ SF - Thursday Night)

  • #5 Atlanta holds Strength of Victory tiebreaker over #6 Philadelphia (.375 vs .292). Also, Philly has beaten absolutely no one. Wow.

  • Green Bay holds a better conference percentage than Chicago (.500 vs .400)


- Top two shouldn't change this week. Saints should handle the Rams, with the Vikings getting the Lions at home coming off a bye.

- Cowboys/Packers smells like a trap game to me.

- Looks like Chicago and San Fran are both in must win situations Thursday - should make for a decent game.

I'm tired of hearing about what's wrong with the Giants. I don't think anything is wrong with the Giants. I don't think the Giants were ever any good. They started 5-0 beating the likes of Washington, Tampa, Kansas City, Oakland, and Dallas by two points. Since then, they've played 4 teams over .500, and fallen on their face 4 times.

They've been exposed, and I don't know if they'll make the playoffs with Atlanta, Dallas, Philly, and Minnesota still on the docket. They need to go 5-2 down the stretch just to have a shot at a wildcard, and they have to beat either Atlanta or Philly (ideally both) to get the head to head over them.
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  #69  
Old 11-09-2009, 12:21 AM
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Originally Posted by acisking View Post
Definitely...although I would note that the other teams have significantly easier schedules than the Ravens do.
Yep. The Ravens had and still have a brutal schedule, w/ road trips to SD, NE, and MIN already behind them. And the annual CIN trip, only Carson Palmer was healthy this time around (he and Johnson made some HUGE plays together early in the game to keep drives going). A lot of good teams would be 1-3 against that line-up on the road. They'll need to win at least 3 of their next 4 varsity games. Anything worse than that (e.g. 2-2), and they absolutely have to run the table against DET, CHI, CLE, and OAK. That is doable. Likely? Maybe not. But definitely possible. Good or bad, going cross-country to play the Raiders is not going to be a gimme. The Cincy loss at home, and the failure to steal one at either NE or MIN means they have almost no room left for error...
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  #70  
Old 11-09-2009, 01:02 AM
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Obviously we need the teams at the top to keep winning, over AFC teams like us that are fighting. It is good that there are teams with none, 1 or only 2 losses at the top of two divisions to keep it bunched up for the wildcard spots.

Go Colts, Broncos and Pats.

Except when the Colts play us.

Far from over.

Good update SFIB.
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  #71  
Old 11-15-2009, 11:34 PM
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Update for Week 10, assuming the Ravens win tomorrow night:

1. Indianapolis 9-0 (@ BAL)
2. Cincinnati 7-2 (@ OAK)
3. Denver 6-3 (vs SD)
4. New England 6-3 (vs NYJ)
5. Pittsburgh 6-3 (@ KC)
6. San Diego 6-3 (@ DEN)
---------------------------
Jacksonville 5-4 (vs BUF)
Baltimore 5-4 (vs IND)
Houston 5-4 (vs TEN)

Still Barely Alive - MIA (4-5), NYJ (4-5)

All But Eliminated - CLE (1-8), KC (2-7), OAK (2-7), BUF (3-6), TEN (3-6)

Current Tiebreakers:
  • #3 Denver has the head-to-head tiebreaker over #4 New England.

  • #3 Denver has a better division record (2-0) than #6 San Diego (3-1).

  • #5 Pittsburgh has the head to head tiebreaker over #6 San Diego.

  • Assuming Baltimore beats Cleveleand, Jacksonville has a better conference win pct (.667) than the Ravens (.625).

  • Assuming Baltimore beats Cleveleand, the Ravens (.625) have a better conference win pct than the Texans (.571). If the Ravens lose, Houston will have the better conference win pct, and will move up a spot on the list.



Analysis:

- The AFC North is not decided, but the Bengals certainly have a chokehold on it. If the Steelers somehow run the table (unlikely) they could take it at 13-3, since Cincy still has tough road tests in Minnesota and San Diego. If the Steelers finish 12-4, they'll need Cincy to lose both of those, plus drop another unexpected game. If the Steelers finish 11-5 or worse, they definitely have no shot at catching Cincy.

- SD @ DEN is probably the game of the week. Denver wins, they can put the same Cincy-style chokehold on the West. If SD wins, they'll take over 1st, and Denver will continue their downward spiral.

- Probably wondering why I called Tennessee "all but eliminated" despite them winning 3 straight and looking good. Their problem - a 2-6 conference record. Even if they win out, they will be at best 6-6 in the AFC - that's not going to be good enough to win a tiebreaker with anyone. They're done.
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  #72  
Old 11-15-2009, 11:38 PM
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Holy **** I had no idea Indy was that close to a comeback win. If they pull it off, this will be updated quickly.
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  #73  
Old 11-15-2009, 11:38 PM
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Hold your horses their SFIB!!!

Wow!!!!!

Change that Colts record.
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  #74  
Old 11-15-2009, 11:40 PM
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Originally Posted by TheJoeFlaccoShow View Post
Hold your horses their SFIB!!!

Wow!!!!!

Change that Colts record.
Yeah, I thought it was done and buried my nose into the standings to write an update. Nice finish, though. Records and tiebreakers are updated.
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  #75  
Old 11-15-2009, 11:45 PM
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Bellichick with a big no-no at the end. By not punting, what kind of message are you sending your defense and your special teams? It is almost as if the "gods of football" were angered and made him pay there. This one will be talked about for years.
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  #76  
Old 11-15-2009, 11:47 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Uli2001 View Post
Bellichick with a big no-no at the end. By not punting, what kind of message are you sending your defense and your special teams? It is almost as if the "gods of football" were angered and made him pay there. This one will be talked about for years.
I just tried to get on 2 Pats message boards and both of them have crashed.

As far as the playoffs we really don't know whether this is a good or bad thing for us yet.
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  #77  
Old 11-16-2009, 02:28 AM
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Some late night thoughts listening to these crazy Boston fans with their accents on WEEI postgame show....

For all intents and purposes you have 9 teams fight for 3 spots.

At this point while I know it is *possible* those two 4-5 teams could get in, not happening. Looking at their schedules neither of them have a shot of pulling off 6-1 down the stretch. So lets just eliminate them. The teams at 3-6...... child please, not in the conversation anymore.

Now to those 9 teams.

1. Indianapolis 9-0 (@ BAL)
2. Cincinnati 7-2 (@ OAK)
3. Denver 6-3 (vs SD)
4. New England 6-3 (vs NYJ)
5. Pittsburgh 6-3 (@ KC)
6. San Diego 6-3 (@ DEN)
---------------------------
7. Jacksonville 5-4 (vs BUF)
8. Baltimore 5-4 (vs IND)
9. Houston 5-4 (vs TEN)

Team/Record/Conf. Record

Cinci - (7-2)(5-2) - @Oak,Cle,Det,@Min,@SD,KC,@NYJ - 3 Home 4 Road - 4 easy, 3 hard,

As far as Cinci is concerned, it does not really matter what they do from here on out. Win them all for all I care, but the one game that sticks out is the SD game. We really need them to win that one for us. If we actually beat them once the strength of victory would help if they kept winning but it is a mute point.

Pittsburgh - (6-3)(4-2) - @KC,@Bal,Oak,@Cle,GB,Bal,@Mia - 4 Home 3 Road - 3 easy, 3 average, 2 hard

Looking at their schedule it appears they have 3 easy wins still on there. Not good with them having 6 wins. That already puts them at 9 with only 1 more needed for the playoffs more than likely. They are likely to get to 10 wins minimum and probably 11 when it is all said and done. That means that they essentially have one of the wild cards locked up, and still could win the division if Cinci falters. It is a stretch to see a scenario where they miss out altogether.

Ravens - (5-4)(4-3) - Ind,Pit,@GB,Det,Chi,@Pit,@Oak - 4 Home 3 Road - 2 easy, 2 average, 3 hard

The Ravens basically have to win 5 of the last 7 to qualify. I am going to assume that would have to be every game other than @Pit and Indy at home. If we could somehow pull one of those games off it is a whole new ballgame, but that is unlikely. If we win all the games we should over the other teams we sit at 10-6 but our conference record would probably hurt us at 6-5. The Pitt game at home is probably our toughest matchup by far. That could be the game that decides if we make it or not.

Houston - (5-4)(4-3) - Ten,Ind,@Jax,Sea,@StL,@Mia,NE - 4 Home 3 Road - 2 easy, 3 average, 2 hard.

Houston has a pretty soft schedule the rest of the way compared to everyone else. 2 Hard games against Indy and NE but other than that all winnable games against average teams pretty much. We need to be rooting hard against them every week, and also praying that last game in NE actually means something for NE because it may not. That could be an issue to watch for.

San Diego - (6-3)(4-3) - @Den,KC,@Cle,@Dal,Cin,@Ten - 3 Home 4 Road - 3 easy, 1 average, 3 hard

Chargers appear to be rolling and we probably want them to get beat in Denver next week somehow because they obviously are the stronger team down the stretch, especially if Orton is out for some time. Not likely IMO though. 2 easy wins gets them to 8, but they still need 2 more to get to 10 it will be close. We hold the tiebreaker so that is nice if we tie. Either way we want to root against them every week as well, them winning is not good.

Jacksonville -(5-4)(4-2) - Buf,@SF,Hou,Ind,@NE,@Cle - 4 Home 3 Road - 2 easy, 2 average, 2 hard

Gotta go all the way out to the west coast to play SF, last time they did that they got spanked by Seattle 41-0. Indy and NE will beat them, and that is all the losses they can afford. So basically they need to win every other game besides those two to get to 10 wins. They are in the same boat we are, but with a weaker team IMO. We need them to lose one of the next 2 games. If they lose either they are gonna be in bad shape.


Denver - (6-3)(5-2) - SD,NYG,@KC,@Indy,Oakland,@Phi,KC - 4 Home 3 Away - 3 easy, 4 hard

Denver has 4 tough games left yet need 4 wins to get to 10 wins....and only 7 games to do it...that math does not add up for them. They would need to win one of their hard games and sweep the easier ones just to hit the number, but the way they are playing right now and their QB going doen that could be tough. If they have to start Simms even one game it could be be...real bad. Obviously rooting against them every week no exceptions.

To summarize- The AFC North is far from over. Pitt still has a chance to take over Cinci even with the 2 losses. It would take some serious faltering by the Bengals though and they would likely have to go 3-4 down the stretch to finsh with 10 wins.

The Colts have the AFC South locked up pretty much. Just wait til they get some injured players back.

Denver has a tough road from here on out given their play and injury situation. If I had to make a guess right now they do not get in. The tiebreaker we have over them could be big.

San Diego looks like they will take the West.

New England even with their brain fart will still win the East, really not a concern to us at this point. We actually need them to beat a few teams down the stretch for us.

The Ravens main concern is Houston. They could conceivably get to 11 wins if they play well while it will be impossible for us to get to 11. I have no idea what the tiebreaker situation would be like at that point if we both finish 10-6. Maybe I will look at it later.

Jags I think are in trouble. They are so inconsistent they show up one week and invisible the next. If that happens just one more time over the next 7 games againjst someone they need to beat it is all but over for them. They miss out if I had to guess.

Ravens are still in it but the game vs Pit at home worries me for some reason. We win that game and I like our chances.

Last edited by TheJoeFlaccoShow; 11-16-2009 at 02:40 AM.
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  #78  
Old 11-16-2009, 03:38 AM
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Awesome write-up.

Quote:
To summarize- The AFC North is far from over. Pitt still has a chance to take over Cinci even with the 2 losses. It would take some serious faltering by the Bengals though and they would likely have to go 3-4 down the stretch to finsh with 10 wins.
It's possible that Cincy could go 4-3 down the stretch, end up at 11-5, and lose out to a Steelers team that goes 12-4 (assuming a split with Baltimore). The Steelers definitely have the ability to win the rest of the games, just dropping one to the Ravens - whether or not they do it is the question. And Cincy will have tough road games against SD and MIN, and always the chance of them dropping another that they should win (@ NYJ, maybe).

Quote:
If they lose either they are gonna be in bad shape.
I also don't think Jacksonville is a real threat - but after watching them basically end the Jets season, I think they're just good enough to play spoiler to some of the teams that are still on the schedule (i.e. HOU). Which would be a good thing for Baltimore.

Quote:
and also praying that last game in NE actually means something for NE because it may not. That could be an issue to watch for.
I also think the HOU/NE Week 17 game will be meaningful. Depending on what the rest of the division leaders do, the Patriots will still be going into the last week of the season fighting for a bye (or possibly home-field). They'll need to win as many games as they can.

Quote:
Either way we want to root against them every week as well, them winning is not good.
If SD can unseat Denver next weekend, then Ravens fans need to keep rooting for San Diego to win the West, I think. They have an easier schedule, and if they stay in second place, it makes the wildcard chase that much tougher. Whereas if they knock Denver into 2nd place, the Broncos will be 6-4 (assuming a SD win next weekend), with games still left against IND, NYG, PHI....and the way they've been self-destructing lately, they could lose even more games than that. They'll knock themselves completely out of the picture, and even if they get to 10 wins, the Ravens have the tiebreaker.



Condensed version of a perfect storm for Baltimore:

- JAX gives HOU a loss in Week 13, and they lose against NE/IND in Weeks 15/16, and a surprise game (@ SF?) - 7 losses, good night
- HOU loses to JAX, IND, NE, and a surprise game (TEN on MNF?) - 7 losses, good night
- SD beats DEN and takes over the West
- DEN continues to tailspin, losing to SD, IND, PHI, NYG - 7 losses, end of them.
- Baltimore walks into the #6 seed unopposed if they can win 10 games. And all without even worrying about Pittsburgh at all (although you obviously need to beat us at least once).

None of that is really a stretch of the imagination, either. You need a lot of dominoes to fall in the right spots, but doable. All starts with Cleveland, though.
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  #79  
Old 11-16-2009, 08:19 AM
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Also, Green Bay's Defense whipped the Cowboys yesterday in Green Bay. I don't wanna be a downer, but I think we can't write off Green Bay just yet because they lost to Tampa Bay. Rodgers can sling it and he's got the Wr's to go get it. Might be a real match up problem for the Ravens unless they can somehow generate pressure with 4-5 man fronts/blitzes. Green Bay's O Line does generally suck though.
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  #80  
Old Today, 12:22 AM
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And that is why they play the games...... I think that is how the saying goes.

Two of the worst teams in the league upset Cinci and Pitt setting up a HUGE game next week at the Vault.

A giant FU to the Bills who had a lead on the Jags for 59 out of the 60 minutes today but could not hold on.

1. Indianapolis 10-0 (6-0)
2. Cincinnati 7-3 (5-3)
3. San Diego 7-3 (5-3)
4. New England 7-3 (5-3)
5. Pittsburgh 6-4 (4-3)
6. Denver 6-4 (5-3)

---------------------------
Jacksonville 6-4 (5-2)
Houston 5-4 (4-3)
Baltimore 5-5 (5-4)
Miami 5-5 (3-3)

Go Titans tomorrow, we need all the help we can get at this point.
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