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LarryN

At the Break: Chris Davis Home Runs

How many home runs will Chris Davis have at the end of the season?   18 members have voted

  1. 1. How many home runs will Chris Davis have at the end of the season?


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25 posts in this topic

At this pace, he would almost have to get injured not to hit 50, on the other hand keeping up this current pace seems somewhat unlikely so I vote 51-60.

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I think he'll break Maris' record of 61. Of the games left, 45 out of 66 are at favorable ballparks: 32 at OPACY, 6 at Fenway, 4 at Tampa Bay, and 3 at Toronto. And if you count the 3 games at Yankee Stadium with the short right-field, that would make 48.

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54. He is going to see less and less pitches to hit.

 

Especially if Wieters continues to be behind him in the batting order. (notice how I didn't say "hit behind him"?)

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54. He is going to see less and less pitches to hit.

 

Why do they pitch to him now??

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Why do they pitch to him now??

 

Most of the time they don't. He rarely sees any kind of good pitch to hit anymore. Of course, that hasn't stopped him from getting to 37 before the break, so maybe (hopefully) I am wrong and he stays patient, keeps working at bats, and hammers it whenever he gets a somewhat decent pitch.

 

I would love to see the post by SNAFU above be true, so I really hope my guess is low.

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Why do they pitch to him now??

 

in all honesty, I don't know. with AJ swinging at anything they roll across the outside of the plate, and with MW popping up weakly to the in field, I can't see any reason to pitch to him. the only reasoning I can come up with is that opposing teams don't feel like a solo HR will hurt them.

 

I hope the AJ we saw in the toronto series is the guy who comes back from the AS break. he wasn't swinging at that low and away garbage, which led to walks, and then led to hits.

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in all honesty, I don't know. with AJ swinging at anything they roll across the outside of the plate, and with MW popping up weakly to the in field, I can't see any reason to pitch to him. the only reasoning I can come up with is that opposing teams don't feel like a solo HR will hurt them.

 

I hope the AJ we saw in the toronto series is the guy who comes back from the AS break. he wasn't swinging at that low and away garbage, which led to walks, and then led to hits.

 

He wasn't swinging at them but it took everything he had for him to lay off of them. He must have started and checked his swing on that low and away garbage 7 or 8 times. Baby steps.

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The only one who had these numbers before (non-juiced, not counting Bonds or McGwire) was Reggie - he had 37 at the break and finished with only 47.

 

I think 55 is within reach.

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The only one who had these numbers before (non-juiced, not counting Bonds or McGwire) was Reggie - he had 37 at the break and finished with only 47.

 

I think 55 is within reach.

 

I heard that Reggie stat. he had a major power outtage the 2nd half. I know it's not likely that a batter will hit with as much power in the 2nd half, but 10 in 3 months is pretty anemic.

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I'll stick with the 50-54 I guesstimated in the "Will He Hit Over 50 HRs?" poll a few weeks ago.

 

I'd expect a bit of a slowdown as the summer heat wears the everyday players down, but he has shown such power that I really don't expect an extended slump.

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I'll stick with the 50-54 I guesstimated in the "Will He Hit Over 50 HRs?" poll a few weeks ago.

 

I'd expect a bit of a slowdown as the summer heat wears the everyday players down, but he has shown such power that I really don't expect an extended slump.

 

He'll hit at least 15 more, by accident.....

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He'll hit at least 15 more, by accident.....

 

Yeah, you're probably right. I guess in some ways I'm a bit like slidemaster; if my expectations are lowered, the reward feels greater.

 

Also, I am only marginally considering the projected number which probably increased quite a bit in the last four days since he hit HRs in four straight games to close out the first half (actually closer to 60%) of the season.

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If they keep pitching to him the same way he will have over 60. His opposite field power makes it nearly impossible for him not to get it.

If he gets injured or they start walking him more, then he will only have 50-55.

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Yeah the opposite field power really makes it tough to pitch him. I wasn't around for Reggie but every clip I see of him, he's pulling it out to RF.

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Uh oh! Crush hurts his hand at the HR Derby. We might have to lower our projections.

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He's going to see fewer pitches and will get walked more in tight situations.

 

I expect he'll hit 55. Remember, there are not 81 games left- more like 67!

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Yeah the opposite field power really makes it tough to pitch him. I wasn't around for Reggie but every clip I see of him, he's pulling it out to RF.

 

One of the moszt amazing things I ever saw was Reggie in the All Star game at old Tiger Stadium, hitting one off the light tower in right field...

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all players go through slumps. No doubt in my mind he will get hot again.

 

I can't say one bad thing about Chris Davis....period

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I can't say one bad thing about Chris Davis....period

 

The tobacco chewing is kind of gross

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At this rate he may only hit 40.

 

MLB players going into a slump after participating in the HR Derby isn't unusual. Hence, why many of the same sluggers don't participate every year. I still think he'll top 50HRs for the season.

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I don't think the home run derby has much if anything to do with it, that's just a story line people latch on to.

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